By E. Lundsgaarde
Combining reports of demography, weather swap, expertise and innovation, political improvement, new actors in foreign improvement, and international governance frameworks, this publication highlights the foremost underlying determinants of switch within the African context and key uncertainties concerning the continent's destiny improvement customers.
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Additional resources for Africa Toward 2030: Challenges for Development Policy
In line with the emphasis in the scenario analysis tradition placed on an analysis of key drivers of change, the six core chapters in this book present in-depth treatments of how individual drivers could shape the future of the 32 Erik Lundsgaarde African development landscape. These chapters were structured around a common set of questions. The authors were first asked to provide a background assessment on the linkage between the driver and development outcomes, and a description of how the driver is currently affecting African development, making note of possible variations among sub-regions or countries on the continent.
2006c) DAC Peer Review of the United Kingdom. The OECD Journal on Development 7(3): 7–114. —— (2004) DAC Peer Review of France. The DAC Journal 5(2): 189–308. , and Dreher, A. (2007) Do Donors Target Aid in Line with the Millennium Development Goals? A Sector Perspective of Aid Allocation. UNUWIDER Discussion Paper No. 2007/04. United Nations (1987) Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development: Our Common Future. htm (Accessed 3 August 2010). Weinlich, S. (2010) Die Reform der Entwicklungszusammenarbeit der Vereinten Nationen: eine Analyse des Verhaltens und der Positionierung wichtiger Staaten gegenüber Reformoptionen.
Alongside a subjective assessment of the importance of drivers of change, qualitative scenario building also involves reflection on the main uncertainties related to the forces strongly influencing the future. As suggested above, focusing attention on uncertainties is viewed as a primary mechanism for preparing for a wide range of possible eventualities. An underlying assumption in this approach is that there are many known factors which can have an influence on the direction the future might take, but for some factors, this influence is more predictable and for others more unpredictable.